Boothe's
Global Perspectives
ENLIGHTENED JOURNALISM WITH INDEPENDENCE AND OBJECTIVITY
  • Business  

    Industry Trends 2019-2020 and Impacts on Value

    Trends and Impacts on Value  By Ben Boothe, Sr. (Commercial Appraisals and Valuations) Appraisals/Environmentals by BootheGlobalPerspectives trend research, appraisal data from Appraisal and Feasibility Source

    Farming Industries:  Farmers are seeing markets in flux with some agricultural prices are down because of trade wars, uncertain demand and unpredictable political leadership. As demand and prices for farm goods decline, the investment appeal of farm lands declines in pure economic return on investment. China is buying fewer farm products from America and Argentina and Brazil are jumping in and taking over production and international markets that once belonged to American farmers.  There is reason to be concerned because we could see a period when farming and farmers cannot thrive, in this time of international trade wars, led by an Administration that has no experience or knowledge of agricultural economics.  Appraisal value trends: Continued trade war conflicts create a high probability of value of farms and farm industries in decline, if prices for American produced farm goods continue to decline.Electronics and High Tech: Some of America’s most lucrative companies are in electronics, computers and cell phones. Apple thought it was immune, but even Apple has been stung by Chinese tariffs. China and the East have dominated manufacturing of electronic and high tech equipment. Appraisal value trends: Continued declines in profits because trade wars could create a mid-range probability of lower values for the US electronic, high-technology sector.

    Retail Industry: The rising risk factors for large shopping malls is well known, with some of these malls converting to low cost, discount centers appealing to a lower income demographic. The smaller “boutique” shopping areas are now facing more pressure from internet sales. Retail is trying everything to save its big boxes, but internet sales and quick delivery from UPS, Amazon and others puts retail real estate and business values in question. Impact on appraised values: Mid- to upper-range probability of lower appraised values.  But prospect for well located quality "specialty product" locations such as electronics, telephone sales, computers for individuals or business, may see good potential for good leases and higher rates of appreciation. Hospitals and Medical Industry Properties: The days when hospitals have total control on medical pricing and lobbied protections from malpractice suits are slowly ending. New laws and consumer pressure are demanding prior disclosure of fees. Plus, more disclosure on mortality rates with specific ratings on hospitals and individual doctors is putting more pressure on quality of care and more competitive pricing. We are seeing hospitals go bankrupt in higher numbers. Moves and calls to eliminate protections from malpractice are growing. Impact upon value: Mixed -- Mid to high probability of lower appraised values for lesser quality medical establishments, some optimism for rising values for those providing exceptional standards of care and lower mortality rates. Aviation Transportation and Manufacturing: Air transport is facing more risks with wide swings in fuel costs as wells as operating in a world with increasing conflicts. Public and regulatory demand for better service, more comfort and a higher degree of quality and regulation because of Boeing’s PR disaster on its biggest new model, plus more competition from international airlines and international manufacturers from China and other sectors make this industry a target for buy-outs from investors and bottom feeders.  Impact on appraisal value: Mid-range probability of lower values.

    Oil and Gas Industry: The oil and gas industry is famous for it's wide swings in "boom and bust" and in the areas of the country that have underground reserves of oil and gas (or energy production resources) the values will go up and down with world demand, war and peace, political changes, legal changes in tax treatments, and changes of governments. At the present time the Permian Basin of Texas and New Mexico is showing a boom in new drilling led by EXXON, British Petroleum and about 10 other "players" in the industry.  Many of the "independent" oil and gas companies are facing higher risk, and thus buildings and land owned by oil and gas companies, have a better promise of Appraisal Value appreciation  if owned by the "large companies" with huge capital reserves and staying power.  Small independent operators may build nice buildings, but their demand and value will ebb and flow with the markets of the oil and gas industry. …

     

  • Jun 13, 2019 | Business  

    Tariff and Trade Wars Hurting Jobs, Economy

    Economists and financial observers like us at are watching the impact of job creation or job losses as a result of uncertainties and economic impacts of the "trade war" and "tariff battles" initiated by the White House. During the last 18 months of the Obama administration and the first 12 months of the Trump administration, we became accustomed to seeing growth of 120,000 to 250,000 new jobs per month...

     

  • May 30, 2019 | Business  

    GEORGIA AND LOUISIANA MAY LOSE MUCH OF THEIR MOVIE PRODUCTION BUSINESS

    DISNEY, NETFLIX, HBO ACTORS, PINEWOOD STUDIOS AND MANY ACTORS MAY NOT WANT TO WORK IN GEORGIA OR LOUISIANA ANY MORE BECAUSE OF NEW "EXCESSIVE" ABORTION LAWS JUST PASSED THERE
    This could bode well for the state of New Mexico, where Netflix has purchased a large studio complex in Albuquerque...

     

  • Apr 22, 2019 | Business  

    I'LL GLADLY PAY YOU TUESDAY FOR A HAMBURGER TODAY

    From government to high-flying finance deals, I am reminded of Wimpy, a character of the old Popeye cartoons I used to delight in when a child. The place of my enjoyment was the “LAWS BROTHERS DRUG STORE” located in White Settlement, Texas. It was next door to my father’s Ben Franklin Store...

     

  • Mar 5, 2019 | Business  

    Evidence of Economic Impacts and Cost/Rewards from Tariff and Trade War Policies

    From the Publisher: We have been watching for a scholarly and non-political evaluation of impacts of the tariff and trade war policies. Finally, we offer two articles, one from Bloomberg Financial reporting of a study by reputable economists and universities, and another from the Huffington Post. We give them full credit...

     

  • Feb 11, 2019 | Business  

    FARMERS GOING BANKRUPT IN RISING NUMBERS, WHY? TRUMP POLICIES

    Our credit and thanks to Mary Papenfuss, writer of Huffington Post, for this article which confirms independent research of We have always believed in the "heartland," and American farmers represent the heartland of the United States of America. Therefore we watch the economic issues of farmers...

     

  • Feb 5, 2019 | Business  

    At Wells Fargo, a Saint Emerges (who understands what it means to be a good banker)

    Wells Fargo Bank survived the scandals of 2018 and hopes for better things for 2019. It brought some of the scandals on itself. But there are problems facing the bank in 2019. T he Federal Reserve has told the bank to stop growing. Many observers watched as CEO Tim Sloan was castigated publicly when Senator Warren demanded he be fired...

     

  • Dec 18, 2018 | Business  

    Alan Greenspan (Former Fed Chair) Says: "THE PARTY'S OVER ON WALL STREET"

    Credit to Washington (CNN Business), 12/28/2018 Alan Greenspan says the party's over on Wall Street. The former Federal Reserve chairman who famously warned more than two decades ago about "irrational exuberance" in the stock market doesn't see equity prices going any higher than they are now...

     

  • Dec 13, 2018 | Business  

    Wave of New Residential Foreclosures Across America PASS THIS ON TO YOUR INVESTORS

    There is an interesting, unexpected wave of increased foreclosure filings for residential properties in the United States. Los Angeles recently showed a 20 percent increase in foreclosure filings. Houston was up 76 percent. Philadelphia, Miami and San Francisco were up 10 percent...

     

  • Nov 25, 2018 | Business  

    Oil Price Drops: Trends for last 12 months.

    The price of oil has dropped rapidly. Global reports show that supply is rising faster than demand. We see several reasons for this but will defer to published data. You may call Ben Boothe, who offers appraisals, valuations and feasibility studies. He can provide in-depth information and reports. Our reports can include oil, water, land, industrial development and values...

     

  • Oct 25, 2018 | Business  

    Study of the Flow of Capital Around the World is Enlightening, Capital Flows = Value Appreciation

    Our thanks to Dr. Richard Barkham for his insights into capital flows to and from the USA. He gave us permission to use some of his research. It seems that the direction of capital flows has a lot to do with determining growth economies and the health of financial sectors. We recommend that you write Dr. Barkham and read some of his other studies...

     

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